I've called Mitt Romney's campaign "fading," "struggling," and even "doomed."
Now, I'm making my position perfectly that Mitt Romney has almost no chance to win the nomination.
He calls his second-place finish in Iowa and New Hampshire "silvers," but I call them complete failures. This man has ridiculous amounts of money and is using lots of it to fund his own campaign.
After vastly outspending Mike Huckabee in Iowa, and then John McCain in New Hampshire, he still has only won Wyoming.
If his money isn't the problem, then what is?
Clearly it's him. He has flipped-flopped more times than a fish out of water, and people don't trust him one bit.
He has also majorly changed his campaign message after each state.
Before Iowa, he defended Bush and the Reagan coalition. After Iowa, when Huckabee and Obama won on the "change" platform, all of the sudden he was the candidate of change. After New Hampshire, where Hillary cried and won, he got all choked up in Michigan when speaking about his father.
See the pattern?
Republicans can see right through him, which is why he has little chance in Michigan and no chance in South Carolina. He is putting a lot of his resources and most of his time into Michigan, at least until Tuesday, and needs a win there to stay alive.
I don't think his personal story about being born in Michigan or about how his daddy was governor there back in the '60s will have much sway among Michigan Republicans.
Even if he does win Michigan, I don't think he'll catch on in time in South Carolina and in the Super Tuesday states.
The only scenario I can see for him getting the nomination is if he wins Michigan and Nevada, Huckabee wins South Carolina, and McCain loses Florida.
That would virtually knock McCain out, and Romney would once again get the backing of the Republican establishment. But that scenario is incredibly unlikely.
If he loses the Michigan primary, don't expect him to drop out immediately. His money should keep him afloat until Super Tuesday. Expect his campaign to evaporate into total oblivion.
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Let him fade into oblivion, and it won't be soon enough, I say!
These guys have a habit of never staying down. McCain was almost counted out after Iowa if I remember corretly (which I probably don't). I wouldn't be surprised if Romney went down and took McCain or Huckabee with him though. If he's already changing like that, he'll most likely do anything to win. Hopefully this won't be a repeat of 2000.
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