State of the Race: 10 Days to Go

It was a slow polling day, with only a few new polls coming out today. Here are the numbers, and as always, the states are listed from most to least competitive.

North Carolina (15)--Obama +1.1
Missouri (11)--Obama +2.0
Florida (27)--Obama +2.0
Montana (3)--McCain +2.4
Indiana (11)--Obama +2.7
Nevada (5)--Obama +2.7
North Dakota (3)--McCain +2.7
Georgia (15)--McCain +4.0
Ohio (20)--Obama +5.3
Colorado (9)--Obama +5.8
New Hampshire (4)--Obama +6.3
Virginia (13)--Obama +6.8
West Virginia (5)--McCain +6.9
New Mexico (5)--Obama +8.3
Pennsylvania (21)--Obama +10.5
Minnesota (10)--Obama +11.1
Wisconsin (10)--Obama +11.2
Iowa (7)--Obama +11.3

TODAY'S ELECTORAL VOTE PROJECTION:
Obama: 375
McCain: 163

One poll that came out after yesterday's update was the Rasmussen poll in New Hampshire, and boy was it good news for John McCain. The poll showed him down by only four points, cutting the margin down considerably from the last batch of polls from the state. New Hampshire still remains McCain's best opportunity to pick off a Kerry state.

Another Rasmussen poll that came out after yesterday's update out of Iowa shows that the state is not totally out of play. According to that poll, McCain is only down by eight points, which is not terrible news for McCain. It shows that Obama has not yet sealed the deal, but it will still be very hard for McCain to win there. McCain is spending most of the weekend in Iowa, in search of some much-needed electoral votes, but his chances look grim.

The McCain campaign's decision to go all-out for Pennsylvania has not really moved the polls at all. Obama continues to hold a double-digit advantage over McCain according to the Morning Call Pennsylvania tracking poll.

Some more bad news for the McCain camp is the results from today's Rocky Mountain News poll, which has Obama up by 12 there. If McCain doesn't win Pennsylvania (and it looks like he's not), Colorado is one of the states he must win, along with Nevada, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

Also, the reliable Ohio Newspaper poll puts Obama up by three in the Buckeye state, which is a definite improvement for McCain over the double digit deficits he got in the last two polls. This poll seems more logical than the last two--I do not for a second believe that Obama has a double-digit lead over McCain in Ohio.