Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Friday, November 7, 2008

Poll: Did Palin Hurt or Help?

Rasmussen has a new poll on the subject:

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Republican voters say Alaska Governor Sarah Palin helped John McCain's bid for the presidency, even as news reports surface that some McCain staffers think she was a liability.


Ninety-one percent (91%) of Republicans have a favorable view of Palin, including 65% who say their view is Very Favorable. Only eight percent (8%) have an unfavorable view of her, including three percent (3%) Very Unfavorable.


When asked to choose among some of the GOP's top names for their choice for the party's 2012 presidential nominee, 64% say Palin. The next closest contenders are two former governors and unsuccessful challengers for the presidential nomination this year -- Mike Huckabee of Arkansas with 12% support and Mitt Romney of Massachusetts with 11%.


It appears that as of now, Palin still seems popular with her own party looking ahead to 2012. But is she already the front-runner?

Well, it certainly seems that way, but it is still very very early. I mean, Barack Obama was just elected president three days ago. But this poll does show that most Republicans still have a very favorable view of her, especially the conservative base of the party. Only a small fraction of the party does not view her favorably as of now.

But voters and Americans in general have very short-term memories, and I think her popularity within the party will depend on what she does over the next year or two, as well as what Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Tim Pawlenty, and Mark Sanford do as well.

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