Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Monday, November 3, 2008

My Senate Predictions

Here are my official and final predictions for the seven most competitive Senate races in order from the closest to the most lopsided margin of victory. An asterisk denotes an incumbent. Here goes nothing.

Minnesota--
Al Franken (D): 44%
Norm Coleman (R)*: 43%
Dean Barkley (I): 13%

Georgia--
Saxby Chambliss (R)*: 49%
Jim Martin (D): 46%
Allen Buckley (L): 5%
(Note: The failure of any candidate to reach 50% will result in a run-off election between Saxby Chambliss and Jim Martin on Dec. 4)

North Carolina--
Kay Hagan (D)
: 52%
Elizabeth Dole (R)*: 48%

Kentucky--
Mitch McConnell (R)*: 53%
Bruce Lunsford (D): 47%

Mississippi (Special)--
Roger Wicker (R)*: 54%
Ronnie Musgrove (D): 46%

Oregon--
Jeff Merkley (D): 53%
Gordon Smith (R)*: 44%
David Brownlow (C): 3%

New Hampshire--
Jeanne Shaheen
(D): 55%
John Sununu (R)*: 44%

The New Senate:
Democrats: 57
Republicans: 41
Independents: 2

The Democrats will not reach the 60-seat threshold on election night, but in the Georgia run-off election in December, they will have an opportunity to pick up that 60th seat.

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