Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

OH: Poll Shows Candidates With Low Name ID

A new Quinnipiac poll out of Ohio shows that most voters are unfamiliar with the major contenders for the state's open Senate seat.

In a Republican primary, former Rep. Rob Portman leads state Auditor Mary Taylor 31% to 14%, with 52% undecided. Portman has already announced his candidacy, has the establishment support, and is widely expected to be the GOP nominee. Taylor has not made her intentions clear yet, but has not ruled out a run.

In a Democratic primary, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher leads Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner 18% to 14%, with 46% undecided. Both Fisher and Brunner have already formally announced their candidacies, setting up a competitive primary with lots of undecided voters left to win over.

Here are the head-to-head numbers:

Fisher--41%
Portman--33%

Fisher--41%
Taylor--31%

Brunner--39%
Portman--34%

Brunner--38%
Taylor--31%

It looks like either Democrat starts off with the slight advantage over either Republican, but it is still very very early and the name identification is low for all four of the aforementioned candidates.

67% of Ohioans don't know who Portman is, while over half of voters are not familiar with Fisher or Brunner. Clearly these candidates have a lot of room to work with to improve their numbers.

So until name identification shoots up for these three, we can basically ignore the majority of results of polls for this race.

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