Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Friday, March 6, 2009

CA: Poll Shows That Boxer is Safe

A new Field Poll out of California shows that Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) is safe for her 2010 reelection bid, no matter who were Republican challenger is.

The poll tested her against Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) and businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R), as well as a hypothetical Republican primary including Schwarzenegger, Fiorina and Assemblyman Chuck DeVore and one primary match-up with just Fiorina and DeVore. Here are the numbers:

Boxer--54%
Schwarzenegger--30%

Boxer--55%
Fiorina--25%

Schwarzenegger--31%
Fiorina--24%
DeVore--9%

Fiorina--31%
DeVore--19%

Schwarzenegger has not shown any interest in the race and is considered unlikely to run, and Fiorina is undergoing treatment for breast cancer--making her entry in the race very unlikely.

But even if by some miracle one of those two Republicans jumps in the race, this poll confirms that Boxer would cruise to reelection anyway. DeVore--who has already officially announced his candidacy--won't be a threat at all to Boxer if he gets the nomination.

So barring any major gaffes or scandals in the next year and a half, it looks like Boxer will easily win a fourth term in the Senate.

No comments: