Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

FL: Poll Shows No Clear Favorite in Either Party

A new poll from Quinnipiac confirms that the Florida Senate race remains a wide-open contest:

The decision by CFO Sink to walk away from the Senate race leaves a wide open scramble for the Democrat nomination. Because the survey was in the field when she announced her decision not to run, she was left on the list from which respondents were asked to choose for the rest of the polling. In a trial heat among Democratic candidates, she gets 15 percent, while U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek has 13 percent, followed by U.S. Rep. Ron Klein at 9 percent, U.S. Rep. Allen Boyd with 8 percent and State Sen. Dan Gelber at 1 percent. Even with a ballot that includes Sink, 54 percent of registered Democrats say they do not have a candidate.

In the Republican trial heat, McCollum gets 22 percent to Mack's 21 percent, with 10 percent for U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan, 6 percent for former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, 2 percent for former Florida House Speaker Allan Bense, and 40 percent undecided.

Its far too early to take these numbers very seriously, because in the end the nominees of both parties will be the ones who can raise enough money and get the most support to run the best statewide race. But as of right now, we have no idea who is favored to be the nominee of either party will be, let alone who is favored in the general election.

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