Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Obama Overwhelms Clinton in Potomac Primaries

Barack Obama is on a roll. After winning this weekend's five contests handily, he added three more to his win column last night: Virginia, Washington D.C., and Maryland. Here's last night's final tally.

Virginia:
Obama 64%

Clinton 35%


Washington D.C.:
Obama 75%
Clinton 24%

Maryland:
Obama 60%
Clinton 37%

He was expected to win all of these contests, but not by this much. He trounced her in almost every single category and demographic with voters from these states.

He is now on a eight-state winning streak, and is expected to win Wisconsin and Hawaii next weekend. His momentum and delegate total--which just surpassed Hillary's last night--cannot be ignored.

If I were Hillary Clinton, I would be nervous. He has won every contest since Super Tuesday handily, has a lot of momentum going into the contests of the next few weeks, and is raking in a lot more cash than she is--and it shows no sign of slowing down.

To be fair, these contests haven't exactly been tailor-made for her. But she should not have lost states like Washington and Virginia by such a large margin. To make up for this and to appease her donors and contributors, she replaced her campaign manager.

But her deputy campaign manager stepped down voluntarily yesterday. In addition, she loaned $5 million of her own money to her campaign in attempt to keep up with Barack Obama's incredible fundraising ability.

To me, these all seem like signs of weakness and reorganization within the Clinton campaign. She is now solely focused on the contests of Texas and Ohio that take place on March 4th. Most analysts and pundits agree that she needs to do quite well in those states to stay afloat.

She needs those states to be a firewall against the incredible momentum of Barack Obama, as he be going into those contests with ten straight wins. And that might prove to be too much for Hillary.

But like I've said since Iowa: never underestimate a Clinton.

No comments: