Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Clinton Loses Ten in a Row

Barack Obama completed his post-Super Tuesday February sweep last night with convincing victories in Wisconsin and Hawaii.

Wisconsin:
1.) Obama 58%
2.) Clinton 41%

Hawaii:
1.) Obama 76%

2.) Clinton 24%

These numbers from Wisconsin truly don't spell out the true horror that the Clinton campaign faces. Obama won half of the female vote, won convincingly among whites, and made significant inroads among other of Clinton's core constituency while holding his constituencies strong.

Despite the fact that the Clinton campaign significantly lowered expectations in Wisconsin, she did spend a good deal of money and time in the state.

And Wisconsin, demographically, should have favored her. There was a large number of white voters, many of them working-class, that should have turned out in support for her. But as we have seen in the past ten contests, Obama has eroded Hillary's core groups.

To be fair, Obama did have the support of Governor Jim Doyle and did spend a lot more money in the state. But nonetheless, it was an impressive victory.

Now I'm not going to lie to you, last night was not that significant. Most of us knew that Obama would win. But what is surprising is, once again, the margin of victory. He won by 17 points in Wisconsin and 52 in Hawaii.

I think that last night's results make Hillary's path to the nomination even steeper. Now she needs to win big in Ohio and Texas on March 4th--at least 60% to 40% over Obama--to keep up with him among pledged delegates, which should be no easy task considering his strong momentum.

Expect her to go very negative on Obama over the next two weeks as she tries to stop the Obamania that seems to be spreading all across the country.

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