Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Sunday, December 30, 2007

Obama Alone Can Stop Clinton

As the Democratic race in Iowa draws nearer an nearer, the polls show the three frontrunners' numbers getting closer and closer.

Only a few months ago, Hillary Clinton had significant leads in Iowa and New Hampshire and was seen as the "inevitable" candidate on the Democratic side.

But now, she is dead even with Obama and Edwards, and the results of Iowa will have a profound impact on the rest of the race.

Clinton is the only candidate among the top three who can sustain a loss in Iowa because of her campaigns great organization and money beyond the Hawkeye State.

Edwards does not pose much of a threat in New Hampshire, so it really comes down to Clinton and Obama there. Right now they're pretty even there, but the results of Iowa will greatly affect its results five days later.

Obama is the only candidate who has the financial strength to rival Clinton in the longrun. Edwards is financially challenged at this point in the race and could not keep up with the wealthy Clinton juggernaut.

Also, Obama is the only candidate who can rival Clinton in the big establishment states like California that vote on Super Tuesday. Edwards's populist message would not resonate with folks outside of the midwest and south.

The results of the Iowa caucuses will reveal who will take on Clinton in the rest of the primaries.

Edwards does not stand a chance.

Obama does.

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