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Sunday, May 11, 2008

Obama Passes Clinton in Superdelegates

Yesterday, according to a number of news organizations, Barack Obama officially passed Hillary Clinton in the superdelegate count.

In January, Clinton led Obama by over 100 superdelegates. But over the last four months, Obama has slowly eroded Clinton's lead, especially after Super Tuesday.

Many supers who originally had endorsed Clinton have switched to Obama, such as George McGovern, and he has snatched up most of the uncommitted superdelegates since March.

A flood of superdelegates came out to endorse Obama this week after his impressive performance in the North Carolina and Indiana primaries on May 9th. He has been courting them heavily on Capitol Hill since then, while Clinton campaigns in West Virignia.

This is a big turning point in the race, because now Obama leads Clinton in every category--pledged delegates, the popular vote, number of states won--and that now includes support from the party elders.

Since neither candidate will reach the 2,025 delegates needed to capture the nomination from pledged delegates alone, superdelegates will decide who gets the nomination.

Expect Obama's superdelegate lead to grow to a sizable margin before voting ends on June 3rd. And keep your eye on Democratic heavyweights such as Al Gore, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and John Edwards. When they start to shift to one candidate, it's over.

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