Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Thursday, May 15, 2008

2008 Democratic VP Candidates

Here is my list of the top five vice presidential candidates for the presumptive Democratic nominee, Barack Obama, in the order from the most to least strategic and practical.

1.) Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware (Age: 65)
-Biden is a former presidential candidate and is the fourth-longest serving Democratic Senator.
-He provides 26 years of experience, so whenever Obama is attacked by McCain about his lack of experience, he can point to Biden.
-He is the Chairman of the U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations and would provide tons of foreign policy knowledge to the ticket--something Obama desperately needs.
-His age balances out well with Obama's.
-Biden is Catholic and hails from a blue-collar world, two constituencies with which Obama needs help.
-He is also not afraid to say what is on his mind, which is exactly what the Democrats need in an election year, and would have no problem going after McCain.
-He has not endorsed Obama or Clinton at the time of this writing, so he could be seen as a neutral pick in an effort to unify the party.
-But, he also gained no traction at all as a presidential candidate, which might prove true again if he is selected as Obama's running-mate.
-He doesn't put any states in play and tends to say the wrong thing.

2.) Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico (Age: 60)
-Richardson is the current governor of a pivotal swing state, and was re-elected in 2004 with 68% of the vote.
-He has sway among the millions of Latinos in the U.S.--a group Obama currently struggles with and needs in the general election.
-He could help carry New Mexico, Colorado, and even put Texas in play for the Democrats (or at least force McCain to spend money there).
-He served as the Ambassador to the United Nations which would reassure voters who are concerned about Obama's lack of foreign policy experience.
-He has been recognized for negotiating the release of hostages, American servicemen, and political prisoners in North Korea, Iraq, and Cuba.
-He was also the U.S. Secretary of Energy under President Bill Clinton, which would reassure the millions of voters that are concerned about high gas prices.
-He is pro-2nd amendment, which would help with moderates.
-Richardson has been nominated five times for the Nobel Peace Prize.
-But, a Black-Latino ticket might be be risky, with members of two minorities that have never served in either office on the same ticket.
-Obama could probably win New Mexico and the bulk of the Latino vote without him.
-And, Richardson is a weak public speaker and gained no traction as a presidential candidate.

3.) Gen. Wesley Clark of Arkansas (Age: 63)
-Clark was the former NATO commander, and an experienced armed forces general.
-He would bring loads of bona-fide national security credentials to the ticket, and would rival, if not beat, McCain on issues of foreign policy.
-He was a big-time Clinton supporter during the primaries, but has praised Obama on multiple occasions since he won the nomination.
-Picking a former Clinton supporter might help to unite the party.
-He is from Arkansas and has appeal in that region of the country, so he might help to flip a state like Missouri over the Dems.
-But, he too gained no traction as a presidential candidate in 2004, and is a mediocre campaigner.

4.) Gov. Tim Kaine of Virginia (Age: 50)—
-Kaine is a popular and successful governor of a key southern swing state with 13 electoral votes, that could trend Democratic if he was included on the ticket.
-He was formerly the mayor of the city of Richmond.
-He endorsed Obama very early, and has been a staunch supporter ever since.
-He is a fiscal and social centrist.
-His strong Catholic faith would have wide appeal in the Rust Belt.
-Would be seen as a Washington outsider, so he would fit with Obama's theme of change.
-But, he is only four years older than Obama and has no foreign policy experience, which is needed to balance out the ticket.
-He is not well-known nationally.

5.) Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York (Age: 60)—
-Clinton has the support of thousands of Democrats that Obama could not normally win in the general election.
-Many Democrats are thrilled with the idea of a “Dream Ticket” with their two leading candidates on it.
-If he chooses her, the party will instantly be united, and most of her 17 million supporters will jump on board.
-She could bring in working class voters, and has a strong appeal in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.
-She is also popular among older voters, which could help in states like Florida.
-She would attract millions of women voters who might not have voted for him otherwise.
-Has the most recognizable name in American politics (for better or for worse).
-She is an incredible attack dog, and would have no problem going after McCain.
-But, she is a very partisan and polarizing figure in American politics, and her and Obama are not exactly best buddies after spending 17 months as bitter adversaries.
-She represents the "old Washington" that Obama has so strongly run against.
-Her and Bill would insist on becoming "co-presidents" which might create a hostile environment in the West Wing, should they win the election.
-She is the kind of person who loves the spotlight, and so does Obama. They would compete for attention, and it might be counterproductive to the campaign.
-She would galvanize the conservative base, and McCain will have a much easier time fundraising.
-She won't bring in any Republican voters, which Obama has claimed time-and-again that he can do.

No comments: