A new Research 2000 poll shows that Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D) would start out as the strong favorite to win the state's open Senate seat in 2010.
Sebelius leads both announced Republican candidates, Reps. Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt, by double-digits. She also has a strong 56-37 approval rating in a state that has is considered to be safely Republican and one that has not sent a Democrat to the Senate in over 76 years.
The poll also pitted Moran and Tiahrt against each other in the GOP primary, with Tiahrt holding a narrow advantage, though a majority of Republican voters are undecided at this point.
Here are the numbers:
Republican Primary
Tiahrt--24%
Moran--19%
General Election
Sebelius--47%
Tiahrt--37%
Sebelius--48%
Moran--36%
Sebelius, who will be term-limited in 2010, would be the single most prized recruit in the nation for the DSCC. She is seen as not only the early favorite to win a Senate seat in conservative Kansas, but also as the only Democrat who could even make the race remotely competitive.
However, Sebelius has not yet expressed any interest in the race, and her name is being floated as a possible Secretary of Health and Human Services to replace Tom Daschle. But she has already withdrew her name from consideration for a cabinet post last year.
She is also reportedly interested in becoming chancellor of the University of Kansas, her alma mater, which would mean that she would not run for Senate.
We'll just have to wait and see what her next move is.
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