Check out my rundown of the 2010 Senate races here

Sunday, December 7, 2008

Cao Uspets Jefferson in LA-02; Fleming Declares Victory in LA-04

In Louisiana's 2nd District, little-known Republican Anh "Joseph" Cao defeated nine-term Democratic incumbent Rep. William Jefferson--who is facing a multi-count federal indictment for a corruption case that involves $90,000 in cash being found in his freezer--in a stunning upset.

This district is overwhelmingly black and Democratic, and Jefferson--despite his indictment--was widely expected to win re-election. Instead, Cao will take up his spot, and will be the first Vietnamese-American to go to Congress.

In Louisiana's 4th district, Republican John Fleming leads Democrat Paul Carmouche by 356 votes with 100% of precincts reporting, but provisional ballots are still outstanding. Fleming has claimed victory, but Carmouche has not conceded defeat.

The local newspaper, The Shreveport Times, is calling it for Fleming, but the AP has not yet done so. FiveThirtyEight.com is calling it an "apparent victory" for Fleming.

Since Fleming's margin of victory was less than half of a percentage point, Carmouche can still demand a recount, but making up the difference 356 votes out of about 90,000 might be too high a mountain to climb for Carmouche. But hey, it's Louisiana, so anything can happen.

No comments: